Helpful ReplyBuying in Euros? Will ECB QE move affect exchange rate for better or worse?

Author
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
2015/01/21 13:15:33 (permalink)

Buying in Euros? Will ECB QE move affect exchange rate for better or worse?

Hi Guys,
 
EDITED BIG TIME AT 22.24 GMT 21/01/2015 - NEW INFO:

IF YOU ARE FROM EUROPE using the EURO particularly - Tomorrow, 22nd Jan 2015, the ECB is starting its major QE ( Quantitive Easing ) - basically printing money, devaluing the Euro - I think thats the effect? QE amount is rumoured to be flooding the currency markets with €50bn per month going forward through December 2016. The USA did it, now its Europes turn
 
According to this article: http://www.economist.com/...ng-and-euro-zone 

"QE should have a significant effect on the exchange rate of the euro. By increasing the supply of money base the ECB will contribute to a further weakening of the euro vis-à-vis other currencies such as the dollar, the pound and the yuan, thereby increasing exports and boosting inflation."
 
From this it would seem the € will fall further toward parity with the $. If so then one SHOULD BUY NEW SONAR straight away vs after QE starts?
 
I will be upgrading to the full version of Sonar New. Just making sure.

From a European perspective this QE thing could have a further € to $ erosion not in our favour it seems. 
 
Mario Draghi called on the European Central Bank to make its biggest push yet to fend off deflation and revive the economy by unleashing a debt-buying spree of 1.1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion). The ECB president and his Executive Board proposed spending 50 billion euros a month through December 2016.

( From - http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-21/ecb-said-to-propose-qe-of-50-billion-euros-a-month-through-2016.html )
 
post edited by aidanodr - 2015/01/21 17:35:12
#1
cowboydan
Max Output Level: -72 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 908
  • Joined: 2012/01/13 06:10:21
  • Location: Asperen, Netherlands
  • Status: offline
Re: Wait a few days before buying?? 2015/01/21 13:17:58 (permalink)
I only paid 112 euro by JRR. I think I got more than you are going to get.
#2
bapu
Max Output Level: 0 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 86000
  • Joined: 2006/11/25 21:23:28
  • Location: Thousand Oaks, CA
  • Status: offline
Re: Wait a few days before buying?? 2015/01/21 13:18:43 (permalink)
There are many reasons for waiting.
 
Saving money anyway you can is probably one of the best (on an individual basis).
#3
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
Re: Wait a few days before buying?? 2015/01/21 13:29:40 (permalink)
cowboydan
I only paid 112 euro by JRR. I think I got more than you are going to get.



I assume thats with current exchange $/€ rate then less your local VAT?

Will be interesting to see if you are correct over next few days cowboydan :D


#4
cowboydan
Max Output Level: -72 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 908
  • Joined: 2012/01/13 06:10:21
  • Location: Asperen, Netherlands
  • Status: offline
Re: Wait a few days before buying?? 2015/01/21 13:32:52 (permalink)
aidanodr
cowboydan
I only paid 112 euro by JRR. I think I got more than you are going to get.



I assume thats with current exchange $/€ rate then less your local VAT?

Will be interesting to see if you are correct over next few days cowboydan :D




That was the current exchange. JRR doesn't charge VAT and I got a 15% discount when I ordered. Nice People at JRR.
#5
Kylotan
Max Output Level: -71 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 995
  • Joined: 2007/09/10 17:27:35
  • Location: Nottingham, UK
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:20:23 (permalink) ☄ Helpfulby Seth Kellogg [Cakewalk] 2015/01/21 15:00:46
aidanodr
IF YOU ARE FROM EUROPE using the EURO particularly - Tomorrow, 22nd Jan 2015, the ECB is starting its major QE ( Quantitive Easing ) - basically printing money, devaluing the Euro - I think thats the effect?
 
[...]
 
All the analysts are saying it should once again raise the value of the Euro against the dollar in a significant way.

 
This isn't really the place for an economics debate but what you describe is the opposite of what is likely to happen. Quantitative easing creates extra money without creating extra resources, therefore any given unit of that money is worth less. Since nobody is devaluing the dollar tomorrow, each Euro will buy fewer dollars (and pounds, and yen, and whatever). So in the very short term, expect goods and services from the USA, including Sonar, to effectively become more expensive.
 
In the medium term, this could boost the European economy, making it an attractive place to invest, therefore pushing the value of the Euro up relative to the dollar. But that might not happen.

Sonar Platinum (Newburyport) / Win 8.1 64bit / Focusrite Scarlett 6i6 / Absynth / Kontakt / Play / Superior Drummer 2 / ESP LTD guitar / etc
 
Twilight's Embrace - gothic/death metal | Other works - instrumental/soundtracks
#6
Andrew Rossa
Max Output Level: -56 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 1910
  • Joined: 2006/04/14 13:33:18
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:23:55 (permalink)
All I can say is that the price right now is great for users. Upgrade is 112 Euros plus VAT. If I hear one person complain, I'm going to be upset. Also, if you have a VAT ID you can use it. So we are listening to customers rights? :)
#7
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:24:22 (permalink)
Thanks Kyloltan

Thats why I put Question Marks everywhere ..

In keeping an eye on this I found most analysts saying the opposite - but you could be right where time scale is concerned. 

With respect to economics here - I was more flagging a major event that might have a direct impact on all our personal economics which does matter to some of us recession weary folk :D
 
#8
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:25:55 (permalink)
Andrew Rossa [Cakewalk]
All I can say is that the price right now is great for users. Upgrade is 112 Euros plus VAT. If I hear one person complain, I'm going to be upset. Also, if you have a VAT ID you can use it. So we are listening to customers rights? :)



Not upset Andrew - It is a great price. This QE thing doesnt damage that for Cakewalks bottom line. All it does is it might mean an even better ( or worse as per what Kyloltan said ) price exchange rate wise for us over the pond in Europe :D

Just not used to near parity $ to € thing .. spoilt for too long :D
 
#9
Splat
Max Output Level: 0 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 8672
  • Joined: 2010/12/29 15:28:29
  • Location: Mars.
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:28:13 (permalink)
If the stock market crashes again people will end up buying more DAWs methinks as they will have more time on their hands ... 
 
Bitcoins anybody??? I'd like to see that...

Sell by date at 9000 posts. Do not feed.
@48/24 & 128 buffers latency is 367 with offset of 38.

Sonar Platinum(64 bit),Win 8.1(64 bit),Saffire Pro 40(Firewire),Mix Control = 3.4,Firewire=VIA,Dell Studio XPS 8100(Intel Core i7 CPU 2.93 Ghz/16 Gb),4 x Seagate ST31500341AS (mirrored),GeForce GTX 460,Yamaha DGX-505 keyboard,Roland A-300PRO,Roland SPD-30 V2,FD-8,Triggera Krigg,Shure SM7B,Yamaha HS5.Maschine Studio+Komplete 9 Ultimate+Kontrol Z1.Addictive Keys,Izotope Nectar elements,Overloud Bundle,Geist.Acronis True Image 2014.
#10
Andrew Rossa
Max Output Level: -56 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 1910
  • Joined: 2006/04/14 13:33:18
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:32:56 (permalink)
aidanodr
Andrew Rossa [Cakewalk]
All I can say is that the price right now is great for users. Upgrade is 112 Euros plus VAT. If I hear one person complain, I'm going to be upset. Also, if you have a VAT ID you can use it. So we are listening to customers rights? :)



Not upset Andrew - It is a great price. This QE thing doesnt damage that for Cakewalks bottom line. All it does is it might mean an even better price exchange rate wise for us over the pond in Europe :D

Just not used to near parity $ to € thing .. spoilt for too long :D
 


That's good for you, but maybe not for us :)
 
Bigger point was that people had always complained about our pricing so now it become way more transparent and also we offer way more currencies now. We'll have some growing pains with stuff like that (like we did with CAD) but we are monitoring and fixing. And using your own VAT ID was a big feature request so we did it. 
 
The problems often come with the currency rate becomes unfavorable. We set our prices in Europe much the same way we do in the US. And we roll with it for an entire product cycle unless it was really bad. 
#11
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 14:52:51 (permalink)
Interesting Andrew. A local Irish financial news guy I rate just tweeted me something interesting. I asked how fast will it improve the € $ Rate from our end. He replied with:

"Some economists forecasting €/$ parity next year."

So this EU QE thing might, in fact, be good for you guys??

The other thing to look at from your perspective with respect to Europe is this new EU VAT / MOSS rules that came in Jan 1st 2015. Only applies to digital downloads. Basically it means the buyer pays the VAT rate of his/her country at source ( your site ) rather than the old way - pay the VAT rate of the seller.  Not sure what impact this will have on your VAT ID initiative.

This was brought in to Europe to stop Amazon, Google etc selling from the lowest VAT jurisdiction in EU - Luxembourg.  Again the few screw it up for the many ...


 
 
 
#12
Sanderxpander
Max Output Level: -36.5 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 3873
  • Joined: 2013/09/30 10:08:24
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 15:27:21 (permalink)
I already bought and am happy with the price. But I do have to agree I've also gotten used to better exchange rates. Buying software in dollars is the way I feel a little vindicated for the gross overpricing of hardware over here.
#13
Andrew Rossa
Max Output Level: -56 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 1910
  • Joined: 2006/04/14 13:33:18
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 15:31:50 (permalink)
aidanodr
Interesting Andrew. A local Irish financial news guy I rate just tweeted me something interesting. I asked how fast will it improve the € $ Rate from our end. He replied with:

"Some economists forecasting €/$ parity next year."

So this EU QE thing might, in fact, be good for you guys??

The other thing to look at from your perspective with respect to Europe is this new EU VAT / MOSS rules that came in Jan 1st 2015. Only applies to digital downloads. Basically it means the buyer pays the VAT rate of his/her country at source ( your site ) rather than the old way - pay the VAT rate of the seller.  Not sure what impact this will have on your VAT ID initiative.

This was brought in to Europe to stop Amazon, Google etc selling from the lowest VAT jurisdiction in EU - Luxembourg.  Again the few screw it up for the many ...


 
 
 


Our vendor is compliant with the new laws and you are correct. I still think if you have a VAT ID, you can use it. So that hasn't changed. 
#14
hevanw
Max Output Level: -89 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 80
  • Joined: 2014/12/20 08:00:47
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 15:31:55 (permalink)
Andrew Rossa [Cakewalk]
All I can say is that the price right now is great for users. Upgrade is 112 Euros plus VAT. If I hear one person complain, I'm going to be upset. Also, if you have a VAT ID you can use it. So we are listening to customers rights? :)

 
I'm surprised to read this from an official Rep. All my Cakewalk purchases in the past on cakewalk.com were in Euro because I live in Europe and the € prices were always identical to the $ prices, so we were paying significantly more than US customers. Also, I did not have any option to pay in $.
But now you seem to imply that use European customer can perfectly buy stuff in $ via the Cakewalk site ? I would really like to know how.
 
#15
aidanodr
Max Output Level: -81 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 454
  • Joined: 2013/10/12 12:12:58
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/21 15:42:21 (permalink)
henk.vanwulpen
Andrew Rossa [Cakewalk]
All I can say is that the price right now is great for users. Upgrade is 112 Euros plus VAT. If I hear one person complain, I'm going to be upset. Also, if you have a VAT ID you can use it. So we are listening to customers rights? :)

 
I'm surprised to read this from an official Rep. All my Cakewalk purchases in the past on cakewalk.com were in Euro because I live in Europe and the € prices were always identical to the $ prices, so we were paying significantly more than US customers. Also, I did not have any option to pay in $.
But now you seem to imply that use European customer can perfectly buy stuff in $ via the Cakewalk site ? I would really like to know how.
 




I think it was mentioned here by Andrew or others in other posts that this $ € parity thing with cakewalk is not the case now. Its done by exchange rate .. I think that is it anyway .. a vague recollection of reading same over last few weeks here.



#16
hevanw
Max Output Level: -89 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 80
  • Joined: 2014/12/20 08:00:47
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 04:07:43 (permalink)
Ah ok, that makes more sense. Now I understand why Andrew then mentions €112 + VAT, since that is actually going to be the price on the Cakewalk store. Very nice move!
 
EDIT: just checked the online store and at checkout I'm indeed getting a price lower than the expected €199. It's however not a true USD-EUR conversion. The price I get is €149 + VAT which amounts to €180.29. Current conversion would result in €172. So it looks like they are now just standardizing on a pre-VAT (instead of post-VAT) price for the whole of Europe and probably took some average VAT tariff to translate the actual $-equivalent price (i.e. €172) into the pre-VAT price.
post edited by henk.vanwulpen - 2015/01/22 04:27:47
#17
Sycraft
Max Output Level: -73 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 871
  • Joined: 2012/05/04 21:06:10
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 04:15:50 (permalink)
Well one can never tell what currency speculators will do which is what will change the exchange rate but in the near future it will probably go up a bit. Investors seem worried about the EU and are seeking safe haven in the dollar as they are wont to do. That means a lower price on euros compared to dollars and thus higher prices to you for things priced in dollars. 
 
In the long term? Nobody knows but I imagine it won't change much. 
 
If your question is if the price will get better for you soon, no, not likely. 
#18
mudgel
Max Output Level: 0 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 12010
  • Joined: 2004/08/13 00:56:05
  • Location: Linton Victoria (Near Ballarat)
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 06:21:04 (permalink)
Wish the Aussie dollar was a bit stronger but I was charged about 10% in excess of the exchange rate.

Mike V. (MUDGEL)

STUDIO: Win 10 Pro x64, SPlat & CbB x64,
PC: ASUS Z370-A, INTEL i7 8700k, 32GIG DDR4 2400, OC 4.7Ghz.
Storage: 7 TB SATA III, 750GiG SSD & Samsung 500 Gig 960 EVO NVMe M.2.
Monitors: Adam A7X, JBL 10” Sub.
Audio I/O & DSP Server: DIGIGRID IOS & IOX.
Screen: Raven MTi + 43" HD 4K TV Monitor.
Keyboard Controller: Native Instruments Komplete Kontrol S88.
#19
Paul P
Max Output Level: -48.5 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 2685
  • Joined: 2012/12/08 17:15:47
  • Location: Montreal
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 09:20:12 (permalink)
 
Hmmm,  taxpayers' cash being pumped into financial institutions.  What a surprise
 

Sonar Platinum [2017.10], Win7U x64 sp1, Xeon E5-1620 3.6 GHz, Asus P9X79WS, 16 GB ECC, 128gb SSD, HD7950, Mackie Blackjack
#20
AT
Max Output Level: 0 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 10654
  • Joined: 2004/01/09 10:42:46
  • Location: TeXaS
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 11:04:33 (permalink)
Again, part of the reason Europeans pay more is the way taxes are structured. 
 
What is the VAT now?  20%?  We don't have the VAT in the States.  The Federal Gov. taxes income off the top of your paycheck.  Almost 15% of all payroll (SS and Medicare, half charged to the individual and the other half to your company).  So if I make a $100 I only see about $85 in my pocket.  The Feds also have an income tax which is dependent upon how much you make and if you have kids to deduct.  That runs for most of us at 5-10%, again off the top.  So we never see that money.  So now your paycheck is down to 75% of what you've "made."   Which means to have a $100 in your pocket you need to make $130.  But wait, there is more.  Individual States usually have a sales tax, like the European VAT (some also have income tax, too, up to 10%).  This is added on after the sale.  Cities and counties can add a tax to the sales, but most of their income comes from property taxes.  Here in Dallas the sales tax is over 8%, which includes State, City and DART (transportation).  That now gets tagged onto any internet sales.
 
So, I buy the Studio version of SONAR for $100.  And my bill comes to $108.20 with tax.  And I have to pay the sales tax too w/ money that was already taxed at least 15% by the Feds.  So to pay for the $100 I need to make closer to $140, tho those taxes are unseen in Cake's asking price.  In Europe, that $100 "costs" $120 w/ my assumed VAT.  Plus whatever taxes are charged before the paycheck and tagged on after.  I don't know what those figures are these days.
 
I know there is income tax in Europe, but the big "hidden" tax for most working folk in the States is Social Security and Medicare at close to 15%  taken off the top of your paycheck.  The VAT is more, but used to be added after the sale like our sales tax.  That was where a lot of the price difference (as far as an individual's buying power) resided - Americans paid VAT-like taxes before the sale whereas Europeans paid it afterwards.  And American sales taxes are not built-into the price Cake charges, but added after.
 
There are other reasons, I imagine, that SONAR costs Europeans more, but you have to add 15% to 50% to the stated US price to get an actual cost, so it isn't quite as large as it seems at first glance.
 
@

https://soundcloud.com/a-pleasure-dome
http://www.bnoir-film.com/  
 
there came forth little children out of the city, and mocked him, and said unto him, Go up, thou bald head; go up, thou bald head.
24 And he turned back, and looked on them, and cursed them in the name of the Lord. And there came forth two she bears out of the wood, and tare forty and two children of them.
#21
tlw
Max Output Level: -49.5 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 2567
  • Joined: 2008/10/11 22:06:32
  • Location: West Midlands, UK
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 12:02:58 (permalink)
In the UK we not only pay income tax but also National Insurance, which among other things goes towards funding the National Health Service, the state pension and social security (the exact NI rate varies with income, but for all but the lowest paid it's not so different to your medicare example (only we get more for our money).

The big British complaint about pricing is the long-term habit of some foreign companies to charge disproportionately high prices in the UK. One example would be the US companies who simply switch the currency symbol from dollars to pounds. So if it's $1000 it becomes £1000 (plus VAT) rather than the £662 plus VAT you'd expect from the exchange rate. To be fair it isn't just US companies that have tended to charge more in the UK market, even some British companies have been known to do it.

Sonar Platinum paid for in pounds sterling, on the other hand, costs within pence/cents the US price plus VAT at current exchange rates. :-)

Sonar Platinum 64bit, Windows 8.1 Pro 64bit, I7 3770K Ivybridge, 16GB Ram, Gigabyte Z77-D3H m/board,
ATI 7750 graphics+ 1GB RAM, 2xIntel 520 series 220GB SSDs, 1 TB Samsung F3 + 1 TB WD HDDs, Seasonic fanless 460W psu, RME Fireface UFX, Focusrite Octopre.
Assorted real synths, guitars, mandolins, diatonic accordions, percussion, fx and other stuff.
#22
Paul P
Max Output Level: -48.5 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 2685
  • Joined: 2012/12/08 17:15:47
  • Location: Montreal
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 12:57:56 (permalink)
AT
I know there is income tax in Europe...



I'll say !  It's what, 70% in places like Belgium and Denmark ?
 

Sonar Platinum [2017.10], Win7U x64 sp1, Xeon E5-1620 3.6 GHz, Asus P9X79WS, 16 GB ECC, 128gb SSD, HD7950, Mackie Blackjack
#23
azslow3
Max Output Level: -42.5 dBFS
  • Total Posts : 3297
  • Joined: 2012/06/22 19:27:51
  • Location: Germany
  • Status: offline
Re: Buying in Euros? Maybe wait a few days before buying? 2015/01/22 13:21:18 (permalink)
It looks like they have country dependent price politic now, which not only depends from VAT and other taxes. So in "some countries" you can see very strange price... I was thinking that is a bug, but one other customer has got direct response from the shop support: "that is normal". I am still waiting for reply from CW, so I am not sure what is going on. My suggestion, in case the price looks suspiciously hi for you, just wait a little bit.

Sonar 8LE -> Platinum infinity, REAPER, Windows 10 pro
GA-EP35-DS3L, E7500, 4GB, GTX 1050 Ti, 2x500GB
RME Babyface Pro (M-Audio Audiophile Firewire/410, VS-20), Kawai CN43, TD-11, Roland A500S, Akai MPK Mini, Keystation Pro, etc.
www.azslow.com - Control Surface Integration Platform for SONAR, ReaCWP, AOSC and other accessibility tools
#24
Jump to:
© 2025 APG vNext Commercial Version 5.1