35mm
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Just A Theory - Microsoft and Gibson
I am gutted at the loss of Cakewalk & Sonar. I literally feel like a good friend has just passed away! So I have been reading quite a bit about this and trying to make sense of it all. What if; Gibson scrapping Cakewalk rather than selling it could be strategic. They may not have a buyer for the Cakewalk brand, but they could have a buyer for the source code and the patents associated with it. Cakewalk and Microsoft were working quite closely together in recent times. Microsoft with its "creator's" edition of Win 10 has clearly got its sights on the Mac market. Microsoft is right now starting development on a Windows DAW to rival Mac's Logic Pro. It could be that Sonar's (and other Cake products) code may be on its way to Microsoft. MS would likely put their own management and development team together (they have already placed ads for audio developers) for it which may include a couple of folk from Cakewalk who know the code well but would probably leave the rest searching for a new job. It may even be that Microsoft would have instigated this whole situation, maybe approaching Gibson with a deal - they know they are in financial crisis after all. Microsoft would need Cakewalk out of the picture and take the development of 'their new product' in-house. They probably wouldn't need the customer database as we are all Windows users anyway, but they would need to get shot of any obligation for honoring the lifetime free updates, so that would be another good reason to kill off Cakewalk. OK, so this is just a theory. But maybe some of us might come across some Sonar quirks again one day when we are working in the new Microsoft DAW.
post edited by 35mm - 2017/11/23 13:41:05
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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aidanodr
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 10:51:12
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Spot on .. Been exactly my thought recently .. jokingly thinking MS SONAR 365 .Perpetual Sub based like Office 365 with Home, Business and Premium editions, each a higher per month price.
So our options could be:
- MS SONAR 365 Home - MS SONAR 365 Business - MS SONAR 365 Business Premium And by suddenly, catastrophically removing Cakewalk off the scene, being the largest WINDOWS ONLY DAW .. it ploughs a clear field ahead competition wise, in one fell swoop
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35mm
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 11:03:17
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Yes, a lot of people have been suggesting MS buy it and how great that would be. I'm not sure it would be so great. Sonar had personality and character. I wonder if they may have also bought the name 'Microsoft Cakewalk'.
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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aidanodr
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 11:15:23
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35mm Yes, a lot of people have been suggesting MS buy it and how great that would be. I'm not sure it would be so great. Sonar had personality and character. I wonder if they may have also bought the name 'Microsoft Cakewalk'.
Again .. similar thoughts on that. MS buys it, it will become, well, bland, functional, something for the masses to try out who really have no huge interest in music making, just another piece of "creative software" for the masses like MS Powerpoint - Everyone is now a pro presentation maker .. type cr*p. Or worse still .. become integrated into Windows 10 via a future MS Windows Update, the MS SONAR Home version anyway .. FREE. You then pay more monthly for the Business & premium editions On plus side though ... no more or way less Windows BUGS, closely integrated :D I mentioned here before that I saw this happen back in 2008. Im also big into 3D graphics, since early 90s I used / bought CALIGARI TRUESPACE. In 2008 it got whipped from under us. Bought out by Microsoft with a view to being part of new virtual world products. It eventually sank without a trace somewhere in Redmond. https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2008/02/microsoft-acquires-caligari/ TS also had a very close relationship with its customer base. Thats why this feels like deja vous to me here!
post edited by aidanodr - 2017/11/23 11:47:15
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martins guit
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 11:44:32
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that would be cool(especialy if also cake staffs can keep their job...)
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cityrat
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 13:49:07
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☄ Helpfulby SteveStrummerUK 2017/11/24 21:54:25
Seriously? Going from Cakewalk to MS is better because it'll be like Office 365? Maybe it'll operate in the "cloud" too and we can all become totally dependent on the whims of yet another corporate monstrosity.
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aidanodr
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 14:23:33
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cityrat Seriously? Going from Cakewalk to MS is better because it'll be like Office 365? Maybe it'll operate in the "cloud" too and we can all become totally dependent on the whims of yet another corporate monstrosity.
Well I reckon it would be like Office 365 in one main respect .. I have no doubt it would go perpetual monthly sub for ever AND no lifetime purchase either. With respect to the cloud aspect - You might get 1TB or more of cloud storage thrown in so as to backup material on line and/or there might be a collaborative aspect too for writing tracks together. I imagine it could be the same as Office 365 business in that respect. You could add Users / other musicians to your plan and share / collaborate with them. In my last post i was just joking re MS Sonar 365 analogy .. but if MS is the potential buyer then my description above might not be far off the mark?
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subtlearts
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 14:26:18
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Well as I've said elsewhere, projecting, it *seems* like it would be a no-brainer fit for MS - Home Studio is the perfect, drop-in freebie Garage Band killer (err, competitor). Artist/Professional/Platinum - well, it may not make any sense to maintain two versions (and in terms of features the difference has been shrinking as most new features for the past while have been cross-version), so combine those into one solid Logic competitor (likely dropping most of the third-party content), and MS gets a big dose of creative cred with very little dev work, a codebase that's already tightly integrated into their audio world and, ideally, a great development team they already know and work with. But who knows if it looks like that from where they stand? edit... of course, they would grandfather the existing Lifetime members (and anyone with an owned license for Platinum) into an initial license for the paid version... edit 2... in related news, pigs can reportedly fly now!
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35mm
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 14:26:46
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The worst part is that even though there may be some Sonar in there somewhere and probably the plugins we get with Sonar now (although MS will probably sell most of those separately), it would never really be Sonar again and never be Cakewalk again. On the other hand, MS would be trying to compete with Mac & Logic here so they would have to make it accessible and very special too. MS is stable and has a hell of a lot of resources so if they chuck enough money at it and develop it properly it could be everything Sonar was but even better. Or not.
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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ØSkald
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 14:31:02
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I really hope this is true. But they cant wait to long to release it. And I would gladly pay monthly as i do with office to have this.
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kitekrazy1
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 17:00:07
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If they hire the same people responsible for Sonar it would work. Otherwise there is no shortage of DAWs on this planet. Sonar had one of the friendliest authorizations and EULA. I have it on every machine in the house. If that changes I don't need it. Once one gets past the fanboyism Sonar is not in the same league as most subscription apps and that is also outside the DAW world.
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ØSkald
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/23 17:13:29
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kitekrazy1 If they hire the same people responsible for Sonar it would work. Otherwise there is no shortage of DAWs on this planet. Sonar had one of the friendliest authorizations and EULA. I have it on every machine in the house. If that changes I don't need it. Once one gets past the fanboyism Sonar is not in the same league as most subscription apps and that is also outside the DAW world.
I bought S1 now and i have tried to make the same project as i had in Cakewalk Sonar now. And i have to say. S1 doesn't sound as good as Sonar. I dont know why, but Cakewalk sound better in my ears. Its like S1 is in mp3 format compared to Sonar.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 02:05:54
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☄ Helpfulby SteveStrummerUK 2017/11/24 21:57:08
aidanodr jokingly thinking MS SONAR 365 .Perpetual Sub based like Office 365 with Home, Business and Premium editions, SONAR is pretty far removed from the stuff that Microsoft would put in the Office 365 suite or any other mass market offering for that matter. Microsoft wants products that have a MINIMUM user base of 10 million or more for consumer products and hundreds of thousands for Enterprise products. Microsoft would have ZERO interest in competing with Steinberg or Presonus. I could see Microsoft liking the Momentum product, as something to throw in Apple's face. I could see Microsoft backing a DAW company that would develop a whole new user interface, similar to Microsoft's infatuation with StaffPad. But SONAR is more like Sibelius or Finale , and nothing like Staffpad. It seems like a very long shot that somebody would want to buy the Cakewalk code only to produce a cutesy imitation of a modern DAW.
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denverdrummer
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 02:26:02
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I think the question is, could Microsoft come up with something that competes with Logic and Garage Band. No MS has no interest in competing with Steinberg/Avid, but they are interested in Musicians using their Surface line of products. At this point, buying the code without buying the developers is a lost cause. MS does seem to be trying to develop something though. We'll see what it is.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 02:35:41
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denverdrummer MS does seem to be trying to develop something though. We'll see what it is.
If they do anything, it will be something very, very low end. Simplistic and superficial, targeted at children and gamers. The bar is quite high for a new DAW. Microsoft doesn't get into any market that deeply. But I do think they are desperate to show off their wheel thingie. They are probably disappointed that SONAR is not going to be a showcase for that, but they aren't going to spend tens of millions of dollars to prop up SONAR tech and staff just to make a marketing point about the wheel.
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gprokap
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 02:58:45
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Nobody else will buy a PC only product. Microsoft is the only hope.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 03:11:50
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gprokap Nobody else will buy a PC only product.
I think that is probably true. It is not just about Mac. Android is quickly becoming a necessity, and that's an area where Presonus is weak. I'm not saying it is necessary to port a full-function DAW to Android, but I think the future of DAWs involves a lot of convergence and interoperability: - Go-anywhere, any device collection/development of ideas -- Momentum was probably on the right track here.
- Multiple control modes. Not just a mouse, but traditional control surfaces, pad devices, touch screens, voice commands, you name it. AN open architecture is better
- More AI, useful wizards that can quickly lead to good results
- Seamless integration of the notation, MIDI composition, and audio tracking worlds -- StudioOne+Notion has taken a few baby steps here, and Cubase + Dorico will evolve.
- New intuitive, highly graphical ways of visualizing the mix, finally moving away from the 1970s "racks of gear" UI paradigm
Android can play a key role in several of those areas. I don't think many people would take a "Microsoft DAW" very seriously.
DAW: SONAR Platinum Audio I/F: Focusrite Scarlett 18i20 gen2 OS: Windows 10 64-bit CPU: Haswell 4790 4.0 GHz, 4 core, 8 thread Memory: 16 GB Video: GTX-760Ti Storage: Sandisk SSD 500GB for active projects. ReadyNAS 20 TB for long-term storagesonocrafters.com
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BRuys
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 03:12:04
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cparmerlee
denverdrummer MS does seem to be trying to develop something though. We'll see what it is.
If they do anything, it will be something very, very low end. Simplistic and superficial, targeted at children and gamers. The bar is quite high for a new DAW. Microsoft doesn't get into any market that deeply. But I do think they are desperate to show off their wheel thingie. They are probably disappointed that SONAR is not going to be a showcase for that, but they aren't going to spend tens of millions of dollars to prop up SONAR tech and staff just to make a marketing point about the wheel.
Given how late MS Dial compatibility was added, I would bet that it was done well after the powers that be knew CW was already on Gibson's chopping block. If you buy into that theory, one could deduce that Dial compatibility was added in order to set Cakewalk up for a sale to Microsoft. Why else would MS Dial compatibility be added during the death gasp of Cakewalk? Bill.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 03:44:05
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BRuys Why else would MS Dial compatibility be added during the death gasp of Cakewalk?
I don't have any inside knowledge of Gibson/Cakewalk. It seems to me that, while everybody was well aware of the precarious financials, the Bakers had grown accustomed to keep driving forward. Key personnel leaving in recent weeks indicated a strain, but that happened simultaneously with the Momentum initiative.. That tells me the decision to shut it down came rather abruptly, and probably was related to Gibson finances more than Cakewalk finances. They probably made some quick calls to see if there were any likely buyers, but being such a crowded field, there weren't any takers. While one of those calls might have been to Microsoft, I doubt there were any serious discussions ant he M&A level. Please understand that the Microsoft people pushing Windows apps and the Wheel are far away (organizationally) from the M&A levels of the corporation. If anybody thought there was a potential buyer, the announcement would have read very differently.
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soens
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 05:04:45
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35mm Yes, a lot of people have been suggesting MS buy it and how great that would be. I'm not sure it would be so great. Sonar had personality and character. I wonder if they may have also bought the name 'Microsoft Cakewalk'.
Hmm.... MicroCake?! MSCake?! Mmmmm-Cake?! Then again, if the crew does get dispersed among the remaining DAW entities, it will be interesting to see how that affects the future offerings of each one.
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denverdrummer
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 05:16:32
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cparmerlee
gprokap Nobody else will buy a PC only product.
I think that is probably true. It is not just about Mac. Android is quickly becoming a necessity, and that's an area where Presonus is weak. I'm not saying it is necessary to port a full-function DAW to Android, but I think the future of DAWs involves a lot of convergence and interoperability:
- Go-anywhere, any device collection/development of ideas -- Momentum was probably on the right track here.
- Multiple control modes. Not just a mouse, but traditional control surfaces, pad devices, touch screens, voice commands, you name it. AN open architecture is better
- More AI, useful wizards that can quickly lead to good results
- Seamless integration of the notation, MIDI composition, and audio tracking worlds -- StudioOne+Notion has taken a few baby steps here, and Cubase + Dorico will evolve.
- New intuitive, highly graphical ways of visualizing the mix, finally moving away from the 1970s "racks of gear" UI paradigm
Android can play a key role in several of those areas. I don't think many people would take a "Microsoft DAW" very seriously.
I think the idea is making a "garage band" type product for Windows, with a possible "Logic" type program as an option. That only would work with the deep pockets of Microsoft. Microsoft desperately wants their surface line of products to infiltrate the music business, and they have to start somewhere. I agree with you on Android, but the problem with Android is there are too many platforms to support the hardware. Not sure what that would look like but these devices are becoming more and more a part of our lives, I think there is market potential there.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 05:50:16
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denverdrummer I think the idea is making a "garage band" type product for Windows,
Or a PowerTracks (from PG Music) level product. No way Microsoft would step up to a studio-grade product. Their interest is all hobby / amateur grade stuff. They don't ever do "deep dive" products. Their products are as superficial as they think they can get away with, in order to have something for the largest audience. They leave the sophisticated products for other vendors who can follow a more specialized business model. I'd be delighted to be wrong about this, but I don't think it is in the cards.
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35mm
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 11:56:08
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It goes deeper than just the Surface (see what I did there?). The Surface was developed for the same reasons... to grab the creative market from Mac. That is MS's aim - to leave no reason for anyone needing a Mac. For that reason, a DAW offering from MS would not be a kid's toy. It would be a Logic Pro killer! A Garage Band equivalent would also be bundled into Windows. The wording in their ad on KVR is very telling; "My team at Microsoft is looking for audio software engineers and program managers with experience building best-in-class products. If you want to be a part of the future of music creation in multiple dimensions check out the following openings and apply! "
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 15:28:49
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35mm (Microsoft employment ad) If you want to be a part of the future of music creation in multiple dimensions ...
It is interesting. Clearly something is afoot. But still I would expect anything Microsoft does will be on the lightweight side. it always is, the only exception I can think of being SQL Server (which is an Enterprise product.) The consumer stuff is always lightweight, but accessible by the masses. The "multiple dimensions" comment is the most interesting to me, as they are probably thinking along the lines of a distributed system where "the DAW" is not a single thing, but is instead a combination of elements that can be on different platforms. I would not be a likely user of Momentum, but I think there is a great deal of merit to that direction. Let's take a step back. Today's DAWs, in almost every case, are software representations of the most complex recording studios ever constructed, using the paradigm of big consoles and racks for outboard gear. But relatively few people are really producing "studio quality" albums for commercial distribution. Most of the DAW usage and most of the DAW users could do with a greatly simplified environment. And simple doesn't necessarily mean less capable. We have a whole lot of clutter that comes from painstakingly trying to simulate the hardware studio environment with all its levers, buttons and patch cords. I believe there are other ways to approach this space that could produce better, faster results for the majority of users, and make the "audio workstation" accessible to millions of new users, including just about every singer-songwriter, and most music students. Microsoft is not known for shattering old paradigms. On the contrary, just about everything they have done amounts to modernizing or miniaturizing very old paradigms. Powerpoint is an electronic way of putting together a slide carousel that sales people have used for over 50 years. Word is a cheaper version of the dedicated word processing systems and typesetting programs that came before. And so on. Along the way, Microsoft adds refinements and productivity boosts, but mostly is comfortable with the old paradigm. We do see them being a bit more imaginative with the Surface Dial, so who knows. They have an elaborate (although probably far from best in class) drawing system with the Surface Studio. Maybe they are thinking about doing something very similar for audio, at least for the UI of the "next generation DAW." I certainly welcome any new ideas Microsoft can bring forward, but I just don't see a strong intersection with SONAR. If Microsoft were going that direction, they would have acquired SONAR before starting to hire their team.
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Audioicon
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Re: Just A Theory - Microsoft and Gibson
2017/11/24 15:52:32
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☄ Helpfulby SteveStrummerUK 2017/11/24 22:01:12
35mm I am gutted at the loss of Cakewalk & Sonar. I literally feel like a good friend has just passed away! So I have been reading quite a bit about this and trying to make sense of it all. What if; Gibson scrapping Cakewalk rather than selling it could be strategic. They may not have a buyer for the Cakewalk brand, but they could have a buyer for the source code and the patents associated with it. Cakewalk and Microsoft were working quite closely together in recent times. Microsoft with its "creator's" edition of Win 10 has clearly got its sights on the Mac market. Microsoft is right now starting development on a Windows DAW to rival Mac's Logic Pro. It could be that Sonar's (and other Cake products) code may be on its way to Microsoft. MS would likely put their own management and development team together (they have already placed ads for audio developers) for it which may include a couple of folk from Cakewalk who know the code well but would probably leave the rest searching for a new job. It may even be that Microsoft would have instigated this whole situation, maybe approaching Gibson with a deal - they know they are in financial crisis after all. Microsoft would need Cakewalk out of the picture and take the development of 'their new product' in-house. They probably wouldn't need the customer database as we are all Windows users anyway, but they would need to get shot of any obligation for honoring the lifetime free updates, so that would be another good reason to kill off Cakewalk. OK, so this is just a theory. But maybe some of us might come across some Sonar quirks again one day when we are working in the new Microsoft DAW.
This makes absolutely no sense. Why would they announce it like this? Look at the chaos. Even Steinberg is making offers. How does this benefit anyone? Think about it: We want to sell the source code, why? So lets get rid of all the users and potential customers and increase sales of our competitors. Your premise does not add up.
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AT
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 15:55:39
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As I recall, P5 was a one-man, one year project. It is entirely possible for Gibson to "kill" SONAR but let the Baker(s) go w/o any non-competitive agreement. And maybe some take "some consideration" from MS in return. I wouldn't bet on it, tho. Most likely Gibson killed SONAR because they need a tax write-off. Of course, when they go into bankruptcy next year ( $100s of M due next June and their stock gets a junk rating), a judge can order them to sell any intellectual property for $1, if that is the best that can be got for it. Unless they are using it in some of their Philip's consumer products ;-) But to quote Rumsfeld, "you can't know what you don't know," and we don't really.
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AT
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 15:55:40
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35mm
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 16:22:26
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cparmerlee
35mm (Microsoft employment ad) If you want to be a part of the future of music creation in multiple dimensions ...
Let's take a step back. Today's DAWs, in almost every case, are software representations of the most complex recording studios ever constructed, using the paradigm of big consoles and racks for outboard gear. But relatively few people are really producing "studio quality" albums for commercial distribution. Most of the DAW usage and most of the DAW users could do with a greatly simplified environment.
This is rubbish. I used to work in commercial recording studios, and today's DAWs are not representations of them at all. Any crossover you see comes from the fact that you are recording audio with it and the necessities therein. Virtually every "studio quality" album for commercial distribution is recorded on a DAW these days. You need the advanced features you are talking about stripping out if you are doing any serious work. And... there are plenty of greatly simplified DAWs for the home users already, such as Sonar Home Studio etc.
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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cparmerlee
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Re: Just A Theory
2017/11/24 16:25:10
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AT Most likely Gibson killed SONAR because they need a tax write-off.
Not likely. For a tax write-off to work, you need profits to "write off" and I doubt Gibson has been profitable in recent years. Moreover, as an ongoing operation, Cakewalk losses would already be a tax write-off. I think the picture is fairly clear. Caskwalk has been unprofitable for a long time. Roland thoght they could get some synergies, but they couldn't, so they sold to Gibson. Gibson thought they could get some synergies, but they didn't. The losses have been accelerating, yet even recently Gibson evidently approved the Momentum thing. That means that the decision was reached fairly abruptly, and was most like brought on by financial problems at the Gibson level, not the Cakewalk level. My guess is that Gibson needed additional working capital and they could not get any banks or investors to chip in without showing dome drastic cost cutting actions.
DAW: SONAR Platinum Audio I/F: Focusrite Scarlett 18i20 gen2 OS: Windows 10 64-bit CPU: Haswell 4790 4.0 GHz, 4 core, 8 thread Memory: 16 GB Video: GTX-760Ti Storage: Sandisk SSD 500GB for active projects. ReadyNAS 20 TB for long-term storagesonocrafters.com
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35mm
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Re: Just A Theory - Microsoft and Gibson
2017/11/24 16:33:49
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☄ Helpfulby aidanodr 2017/11/24 16:39:00
Audioicon We want to sell the source code, why? So lets get rid of all the users and potential customers and increase sales of our competitors.
All the sonar and many other DAW users are already Microsoft/Windows users. It would take MS quite a while to develop their DAW even using the code from Sonar - may a year or 2. They wouldn't care less about Sonar customers transferring over to other DAW in the meantime. They know that plenty of their existing customers will buy into it when it arrives and most of all, they know it will impact on Mac and stick another nail in Apple's coffin. It may not be what is happening - I said it's just a theory. But it would make perfect sense for MS to pick something up that is already mature, fully developed and proven as a base for their own DAW. Plus put Cakewalk out of business and take it in-house. Why would MS buy Cakewalk when they just want the code and patents associated with the products?
Splat, Win 10 64bit and all sorts of musical odds and sods collected over the years, but still missing a lot of my old analogue stuff I sold off years ago.
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