I can't see enough detail in your screenshot to know how you're bouncing, but if you bounce a mono track through a stereo bus with 0dB center pan law, you'll get a 3dB gain. You either need to bounce with Source = Tracks or change your pan law to -3dB.
I believe there's still an outstanding issue with freezing/bouncing mono synth outputs that also does this, no matter what settings are used, but I don't think it would affect bouncing a Region FX.