Anderton
I opened defended and turned off the real-time and cloud-based protection. Are you saying that isn't enough? You have to go into the Group Policy Editor?
So I assume turning off protection did not help.
Not sure what Defender component was blocking my installer, but completely disabling Defender so that even the service was no longer running is what freed up my installer's outgoing connection. This was the last thing I tried after everything else. Makes no sense to me!
Microsoft has made it very difficult to completely stop Defender on the latest Windows. I think that Microsoft is trying to protect us from ourselves in a very dumbed down way. This is probably a good thing for some folks, but not us!
Even if you install a 3rd party AV, Defender continues to run in the background. It just deactivates Defender real-time protection, but continues to perform scheduled scans.
Group Policy Editor lets you act as administrator to completely disable it.
I'm not saying this is what is causing your issue, but based on some uncanny similarities in our problems, it is probably worth a shot to check out. I wonder if Microsoft changed something in a recent update that is messing with the way certain developers coded their apps to download software, that appears to be behaving like malware. A stealth false positive, maybe?
If that's not it, I wish you luck!