The two songs do not sound particularly alike. That said neither song sounds like it is original, or at least the amount of distinctive music in either song is so sparse that either could be said to sound like dozens, if not hundreds, of songs in the genre. Part of the problem with paring the music to a few notes and a lot of beats is that it all begins to sound very similar to ignorant people like me, and other potential jurors. Asking a juror to make a decision like this is probably worse even than asking a judge to do it. The sympathy factor for the children of the poor deceased pop music legend vs the upstart self-promoting neo-wealthy beneficiaries of his legacy, and the conflicting testimony of paid experts, makes this an unsurprising outcome. Certainly there are songs out there that could more easily have been called infringement, but they probably did not rise to the level of reward for the lawyers that this one did.
The message for anyone writing a popular song in the current era is that if you think it will be a hit, you are probably better off just trashing it, and setting your lyric to something that is clearly in the public domain like Greensleeves or Beautiful Dreamer. But if that version becomes a big hit you are probably still not home free.