Helpful ReplySubsription Model Disturbing Trend

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Kroneborge
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/02 13:05:07 (permalink)
Two quick thoughts,
 
1.  A subscription model should also include the time value of money, IE it should be slightly higher than a regular purchase (assuming normal upgrades) because the company isn't getting all their money upfront.
 
2.  I think a lot of programs are often reaching a point where they are running out of must have features to really get people to upgrade.  MS office is a great example, but I think the same goes for a lot of audio programs.  The core program is already working great, so what's a company to do to get people to upgrade?
 
And if people don't upgrade, then the company goes out of business...  


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#31
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/02 13:36:02 (permalink)
Kroneborge. I do get that the companies need to make money, but I think greed and misguided attempts to battle piracy are bigger factors. Regular adobe customers tend to upgrade. They may skip a version or two, but the everchanging landscape of the visual world means creatives have little recourse but to upgrade. 4K editing needs were non-existant outside of hollywood a couple of years ago. As for Avid, they are very much cashstrapped.
#32
kitekrazy1
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/02 20:49:39 (permalink)
The two examples, Avid may not be doing so well financially.  Media Composer is over $1000.
 Adobe is no longer bundled with Apple products.  That hurts.
 
 If more things go subscription, I guess I'll be using "vintage gear" with hardware and software.
#33
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/02 21:17:51 (permalink)
Avid's financial situation is not great at all the last time I checked.  I think that may be why they are test ing the subscription model waters.  I know production facilities I have worked for that used Avid had very little reason to upgrade immediately.  Avid, like Pro Tools had a big advantage on competitors by 1) being established early and 2) being heavily reliant on hardware compatibility.   If you have a post-production facility, only the rough cut is being done in Avid and which version rarely makes a difference.  Workflow from products made 10 years apart is not that much different.  The noney saved on upgrading Avid can go to other parts of post like coloring and compositing suites.
#34
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 11:10:37 (permalink)
I think this discussion is kind of a waste of time. Everything will move to subscription, or some form of it, because computing will eventually change. We won't have computers like we have today. We will have terminals that we access to our own stuff. Accounts, if you will. The reason prople don't want to accept it is because of capitalism. We want what we want no matter how wasteful it is and capitalism is extremely wasteful.
 
I won't go further except to say that it won't be easy but it will, eventually, be better. Don't forget the phrase, "you have to take the good with the bad". Capitalism creates a need for theft. Which is why companies want to move to a subscription service. Ironic isn't it? They want to use subscription to avoid theft but rely on a system that creates it.

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#35
Kroneborge
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 12:35:08 (permalink)
"capitalism is extremely wasteful"
 
This is a pretty bold statement.  What is your solution that more efficiently distributes goods and services than capitalism and the free market?  A command and control economy where government bureaucrats decide who gets what and when eh comrade?
 
Capitalism doesn't create a need for theft, the fact that we live in a world of limited resources creates a DESIRE for theft when people try and get stuff the easy way.


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#36
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 14:44:34 (permalink)
If capitalism is so great, how come 3/4 of the world's population live in poverty?
 
Capitalism relies on theft. United Fruit is a prime example, BP is another. Why is it a waste? The aforementioned corporations use military intervention to take what they want at the cost of many lives. The lives of those who owned the land where the fruit, or oil, who previously owned. 
 
Why is it a waste? The technology exists, today, to feed everyone. It's that simple and we can do it using less of the most precious resource of all, water.
 
Why is it a waste? There is absolutely no reason whatsoever to use fossil fuel. The technology exists to power the entire world without it. What's sad about this is the tech was invented in the late 1800s. Why do we choose to harm our children for they will suffer the consequences of our apathy.
 
Why is it a waste? It is proven that a more egalitarian society produces more innovation and work than one that is not. You can say that capitalism fuels innovation but tell that to Walter L Shaw.
 
I can go on and on, can you? The fact is we are programmed to think that way. The 1960s was a wake up call for those in power. They decided that people were too educated to maintain their status quo and subsequently, quality education dropped dramatically after the Tri-lateral commission of 1973. There are no democrats, republicans or anyone else in office. There are only corporate sponsored "do as their tolds". Once you realize that, and others, we can get on with living.

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#37
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 14:58:19 (permalink)
Wow, this convo has shifted.  Although i think most home computing will move to a network based access, certain processes will likely be the realm of offline functionality, leaving wiggleroom for piracy to continue.  Even with the terminal only model, I have no doubt some kid in Lithuania would figure out some form of "subscription spoofing".
 
I won't even touch the capitalism topic.
#38
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 17:56:14 (permalink)
The point was that we, even me, have a hard time thinking we can live without capitalism. If you think about it, really think about it, without it, there would be no need for piracy or theft. That kid in Lithuania would be contributing his computing skills to making programs better. I don't think it will be easy though. It will take well over a hundred years, several generations, to forget how to be cruel. First off though, we need to have elected officials who earn their place in leadership and know that government is "for the people" and not for the corporations.
 
This thread is about the advent of subscription services and although I'm going pretty deep into it, it is still a valid point. Though, some would say not.

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#39
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 18:46:43 (permalink)
Guitarpima, I can see your side.  I'm just not absolutely sure it is provable.  we have no true control to measure such theories against.  For starters, capitalism, like democracy  are somewhat loosely used terms in the sense that pure examples of both are rare.  The US and most countries are hyvbrids with elements of multiple economic and political models coming into play.  There has never been a purely communist nation.  Even nations who have branded themselves communist often acknowledged that despite the state controlling many key aspects, they were still in the midst of a revolution (which IMHO is perpetual) heading towards communism.  It's no secret that the higher ranking Soviets indulged in plenty of personal wealth accumulation contrary to the principals of communism.  When I look at political and economic theories from right or left wing, they all seem to make assumptions about how people would behave in hypothetical situations. Eaxample:  The stereotype of the right wing (and I will add disclaimer this is very general and simplified) is that if we create laws that lean toward the advantage of businesses, the businesses will prosper, jobs will be created and it will all "trickle down" for the greater benefit of all. The stereotype of the left wing is often depicted as if we give the poor and middle class things to make their lot better (affordable health care, government safety nets, affordable or free education) they will contribute more to society as a whole and business will prosper.  I have seen both views play out true and false. I have known welfare mothers who have become CEOs.  I have seen Businesses give generously.  I have also seen people milk the system.  I have seen business owners cheat on taxes and use savings to shower themselves with luxuries without benefiting anyone but themselves.  Individuals have a way of making theory somewhat of a moving target.  I think economics/politics and a few other topis make for popular debate material because everyone can walk away feeling "right". You never see people in a bar debating Calculus or linear Algebra because at some point someone might pull out a piece of paper and calculator and come up with a definitive and absolute answer.  i guess I offered all that to say that although i believe the greed inherent in capitalism does provide incentive for thievery, other alternatives may not necessarily change that.  Some of the biggest thieves I know were wealthy and stole things just for kicks.  Humans are strange and hard to predict.
#40
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 21:47:12 (permalink)
"If capitalism is so great, how come 3/4 of the world's population live in poverty?" -- because they have never experienced capitalism, and they have hopelessly corrupt governments. India, for example, had a mismanaged socialist economy for decades which was hopelessly inefficient and corrupt. Technically speaking, there is not one single capitalist country in the world. Corporatism maybe. Mercantilism maybe. But not capitalism. I wouldn't even call capitalism a political structure - it's just the freedom with which people trade values with one another. Governments are something else entirely and usually conspire to oppress this fundamental desire that humans have to trade with one another on their own terms. 
 
At the heart of it all is human self interest. You will never, ever repress self interest without some form of physical coercion (i.e. violence) or brainwashing (a la every communist regime in history). In the end though, we are bound by two inescapable things - the fact that we are individuals who must apply effort in order to keep ourselves alive (i.e. self interest), and that we have a genetic bond with our families which, for the most part, motivates people to help those with which they share genes more than it motivates them to help complete strangers. No amount of social engineering will ever change this. The net result is that people want to be free to live their own lives and set their own goals and priorities. When people are free to do this, free trade ensues. 

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#41
Grem
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 22:25:17 (permalink) ☄ Helpfulby bapu 2014/09/06 13:58:01
Wow. I never thought this thread would go in this direction!!

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#42
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 23:02:08 (permalink)
At least dubdesciple's comment was good. It's nice to know people still can think for themselves and not just repeat what they hear on fauxe (fox) news. Actually, all news is controlled, MSNBC included. The ignorance of those who don't know that those 3/4 of the poor were made poor because of capitalism. In fact before capitalism, they only had to worry about droughts and other natural disasters and not thieves coming in and stealing their resources.
 
What do you call the problem with illegal children coming from South America? Blowback. I know blowback usually means terrorists attacks like 9/11 but those countries are poor because of the US.
 
So Sharke, do you think Ronald Reagain was a great president?  Did you know he funded an army that went village to village and killed, raped, tortured and swung young children, by their feet, so their heads would break open on the rocks? They thought it brought them good luck to collect their broken skulls. A day in the life of a Reagan supported army. Go in a village, kill the men, rape the women, break for lunch, kill the old people then crack some children's skulls. Isn't capitalism a great thing! What do you think the weapons were for during the Iran contras hearings? That's what the right does, kill the left and say that they are the evil. It's all there in history but not what's taught in history. So please know what your talking about. You do realize you contradict yourself when you say your bond with your family. I can think of nothing more socialist than that. BTW - There has NEVER been a communist "regime", ever. There has only been totalitarian and dictators. Again, BTW - The us put more dictators in charge, by force, than any other nation, EVER!
 
I'm glad you understand what brainwashing is. It's to bad you don't know who's brainwashed.  

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#43
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 23:19:42 (permalink)
I think at this point you're just reeling off a confused series of shopworn political slogans. "Faux News"..."Reagan"...etc etc. None of which have anything to do with the subject at hand. I also fail to see what the military has to do with capitalism. It sounds like you're a lot more interested in politics than philosophy or economics. Do I think Reagan was a great president? What does that have to do with anything? I might as well as you if you think Ellen is a good TV host. 

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#44
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 23:29:10 (permalink)
Hey guys. We should probably backtrack before we end up up in a pointless ideology namecalling session lol. I enjoyed hearing each point of view, but I know the deeper we go the closer we get to violating TOS if we have not already. It is interesting how people of different political/economic leanings react to this topic.
#45
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 23:36:45 (permalink)
Heh you're probably right...

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#46
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/03 23:38:59 (permalink)
You say, what does the military have to do with capitalism? I say, wake up. There has never been a war that was not over resources. Iraq, oil. Afghanistan, natural gas and other untapped resources. The only problem there is they actually keep fighting back and we can't extract them. If you believe war is about defending freedom, your a fool.
 
You brought it off topic. I merely speculated as to why subscription services will come about and my thought about it because of capitalism. You brought up all the other stuff. I only mentioned fauxe news and Reagan because all the brainwashed people love them, plain and simple.
 
Interesting where you combine politics and philosophy. They are separate, the same and interchangeable. I would not expect you to understand but can you come up with anything that hasn't already been a "political slogan" for the right? I gave some examples that you don't hear about. Can you?
 
You don't have to answer because I won't respond to you anymore. I won't continue to ague facts with your, whatever.....

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#47
Anderton
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:18:46 (permalink)
Okay it's a rant, but please read the whole thing if you're going to comment on it.
 
Before this thread goes COMPLETELY off the rails and turns political, those with long memories will recall that about a year ago I asked what people thought about subscriptions. At the time, I did so because I was against the concept due to Adobe's implementation, and thought maybe I was missing something. Despite some positive points I hadn't considered, by and large the posts here validated my opinion.
 
Gibson uses Adobe and does the subscription thing, and after experiencing it for the past year, I have now come to a somewhat different conclusion. All the subscription models so far have been geared to large companies like Gibson and in that case, it works and saves money overall. Everyone on every continent is on the same version of everything, all the time. I needed to use Indesign while working on a manual. There were no incompatibility issues, no registration, no updating...it was super-easy. BUT...
 
That's the good news. The bad news is that AFAIK no company has created a subscription model for programs that are used primarily by individuals and small businesses. The idea of not being able to keep what you buy is insane. For example (and not to pick on another company) if you're happy with Sonar X1, then why should you have to be running X3 and paying for it every month if you want to be able to open the projects you created in X1?!? That makes absolutely zero sense to me.
 
The points about smoothing out cash flow over the year does make sense, and that does allow a company more latitude in their planning. And yes, they do need to stay in business and I don't begrudge a company that. During one of my anti-subscription rants I was also told by a couple developers that releasing a program in smaller chunks improves stability and simplifies QA rather than trying to make a massive set of changes all at once. That I do see as an advantage. They also pointed out that features often "sit on a shelf," completed, waiting for an update and a subscription model would allow them to be released sooner. I think that's also valid.
 
Subscription models CAN work; look at magazines, Netflix, XM, etc. But if you stop subscribing to a magazine, your back issues don't vanish into thin air and if you stop subscribing to Netflix, they don't erase your memory of the movies you saw. In terms of individual software users, I don't think a subscription model is going to work until a company comes at it from a completely different perspective. I get the impression that subscription models are generally based on what a company thinks will benefit it the most. I believe that if someone devised a subscription model based on what will benefit customers the most, those customers would flock to it and make the company more successful anyway. I tend to doubt that's the approach Avid will take, but I'm keeping an open mind.
 
 

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#48
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:23:25 (permalink)
Just because something has to do with resources does not mean it's capitalism. You have done this before Guitarpima. The most innocuous of subjects turns into some kind of bizarre, confused anticapitalist rant. Which is funny, because it's clear you don't even seem to know what the word means and what it doesn't mean. Shoehorning Faux News and Reagan into a thread which has nothing whatsoever to do with them is another symptom of the same thing. "Because the brainwashed people love them"? Oh my....
 
Oh well. It was fun while it lasted....

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#49
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:29:52 (permalink)
I just noticed the other day that AT&T has some kind of subscription-like model available now too. For a certain fee per month, you are automatically entitled to a "free" phone upgrade every year or so. I'm in two minds whether to go for it or not, because on the one hand it kills my sad tech-addicted soul when an awesome new phone gets released and I know I still have another 12 months left before I'm entitled to a new one at the upgrade price, but on the other hand I have yet to do the math and work out if it's good value. But at least they're not forcing customers into this model, it's just another option. And I have no problem with that. 
 

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#50
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:43:05 (permalink)
Guitarpima, I'm going to ask you man to man to just let it go. It's not because I necessarily agree with one or the other. I just don't want a timely topic to be shutdown due to an unwinnable argument. I am slowlyb learning my lesson when it comes to that. Both of your bbc.co opinions have merit but this isn't the place.
#51
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:50:46 (permalink)
Once conversations dip that point where popular political phrases like "sheeple","Faux news", "Libtards" and other silly variations of actual names comes into play any hope of a rational discussion just went bye bye lol
#52
sharke
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 00:58:03 (permalink)
You forgot "DemocRATS and ReTHUGlicans" 

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#53
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 01:06:08 (permalink)
Craig, I can imagine how awesome the subscription model is for large companies since many of them were already used to working on that model with companies like Microsoft already.    Maybe all it would take to make the subscription model more feasible is better value.  As it stands you can get one product like Photoshop for 9.99/mth or lots for 49.99/mth.   The theoretical value is that you get so many programs.  In a large company very few people use more than a few of those programs.  The editor is likely to use Premiere, After Effects, Photoshop and possibly Audition.  Programs like Illustrator are typically opened up only if an asset used in editing needs to be adjusted.  In larger companies the guy doing the editing is not likely to be doing sound, designing titles or motion graphics either.  The model reminds me of buying s bunch of premium channels vs getting Netflix.  Yes, cable premium offers more box office hits , but it also offers A LOT more crap too and you are forced to pay for a lot of things you don't want.  netflix has crap too but at least you are paying a 8.99 vs hundreds for premium cable. One can find enough quality material on Netflix to justify the modest cost. 
#54
dubdisciple
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 01:07:28 (permalink)
sharke.. wow, i don't think I have seen ReTHUGlicans yer and I live in hippie central
#55
backwoods
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 03:05:56 (permalink)
I can understand why software companies would go the subscribe route but it wouldn't suit me. I often have manic work projects pop up where I have to put out all kinds of fires and that sometimes means I have no free time what so ever for 2,3, 4 weeks at a time.

When I look at steam the new big thing is free to play. Will this come to music software I wonder? Ps I like Megyn Kelly :)
#56
Anderton
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 03:20:27 (permalink)
backwoods
I can understand why software companies would go the subscribe route but it wouldn't suit me. I often have manic work projects pop up where I have to put out all kinds of fires and that sometimes means I have no free time what so ever for 2,3, 4 weeks at a time.



 
But this just underscores what I said about having choices and owning/controlling what you buy. If you want, you should be able to choose when to apply updates. Again, let me emphasize what I see as a dichotomy between a model that works for large companies, and a model that would work (assuming such a thing is possible) for individuals and small businesses. The two have different needs and I doubt there could be a "one size fits all" way to handle this. I'm sure better minds than mine are working on it, though.

The first 3 books in "The Musician's Guide to Home Recording" series are available from Hal Leonard and http://www.reverb.com. Listen to my music on http://www.YouTube.com/thecraiganderton, and visit http://www.craiganderton.com. Thanks!
#57
Guitarpima
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 07:36:09 (permalink)
I'm still back to my original point. They're doing to stop theft. My only thing is, if the software continues to work up to the version you cancel your subscription, then it's ok. If it stops working, up to the version you cancel, then it's not ok.

Notation, the original DAW. Everything else is just rote. We are who we are and no more than another. Humans, you people are crazy.
 
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#58
michaelhanson
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 08:44:28 (permalink)
I think that the reason there has been a huge explosion in the recording software market is because it is finally affordable to the common man. The common man has a limited amount of expendable cash. If everything goes to subscription, he will have to make choices as to what he can afford to subscribe to wth that expendable cash. Eventually, I see that causing a decline in business for companies that can't hold that subscribers business.

And then there is Capitalism, some one will come along with a no subscription product that is almost as good and take a big chunk of the market.

Mike

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#59
DeeringAmps
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Re: Subsription Model Disturbing Trend 2014/09/04 08:45:45 (permalink)
"But this just underscores what I said about having choices and owning/controlling what you buy. If you want, you should be able to choose when to apply updates. Again, let me emphasize what I see as a dichotomy between a model that works for large companies, and a model that would work (assuming such a thing is possible) for individuals and small businesses."
 
This has been the Cakewalk business model all along!
I have ALWAYS stressed "follow the upgrade path".
Substitute "subscription" for "upgrade".
ProAudio 6 to 7 to 8 (9 finally became a "mature" platform)
Then Sonar 1 to 2 to...
8.5.3 again a pretty "mature" platform; 64 bit, lots of bells and whistles.
And now the X group.
Sit out a version, if you like.
BUT, if you do, you risk further development coming to a screeching halt.
Follow the upgrade path!
I use some pretty expensive embroidery software.
If the dongle goes sideways, I buy a new license.
$1500 invested in an upgrade (an "upgrade" not a new license; Win7 only) that is a total mess!
NO backwards compatibility.
If I open/save a project in this version, it will never open in the old versions again.
I'm running the "older" version on an XP machine, because it works flawlessly, I can save in "earlier" formats.
1500 bucks, I opened the software, signed the EULA; I'm f'ed!
Hopefully Cake will not go to dongle protection, and surely never require the user be internet connected to open the software.
Just my nickel 98...
Tom

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#60
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